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2025 Midyear Investment Outlook: All Eyes on the U.S.

Outlooks

2025 Midyear Economic Outlook: A Widespread Deceleration

Outlooks

Thoughts on the Market

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- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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Yes, You Can Be a Tech Innovator at Morgan Stanley

Technology

Ideas

2025 Midyear Outlooks

May 28, 2025

As the global economy absorbs the shock of the new U.S. trade policy, 2025 is likely to see a slowdown but avoid a recession. Markets are likely to remain choppy, although there are bright spots in equities and core fixed income.

Research

2025 Midyear Economic Outlook: A Widespread Deceleration

May 28, 2025

Global growth is likely to slow in 2025 and 2026 as the shock of higher U.S. tariffs crimps demand around the world.

Research

2025 Midyear Investment Outlook: All Eyes on the U.S.

May 28, 2025

Amid slow growth—not no growth—expect reasonable returns from equities, consider an overweight in core fixed income, and favor U.S. assets over the rest of the world.

Sales and Trading

How M&A is Reshaping U.S. Healthcare Systems

May 6, 2025

As U.S. hospitals divest assets and some regional players and academic medical centers make acquisitions, investors and patients alike will need to assess the effects on healthcare access, affordability and profitability.

Research

U.S. Economy Still On the Edge

Apr 11, 2025

The decision to delay the implementation of reciprocal tariffs helps reduce risks, but prolonged uncertainty clouds the outlook for the U.S. economy.

Research

Tariffs Could Jeopardize Growth Outlook and Rate Cuts

Apr 3, 2025

Morgan Stanley says a June rate cut is less likely in light of new tariffs and an increased risk of inflation.

Research

Unlocking the Housing Market

Mar 21, 2025

A decline in mortgage rates could help boost home sales, with potential positive effects on the economy overall.

Research

AI's Next Leap: 5 Trends Shaping Innovation and ROI

Mar 20, 2025

The world's biggest tech companies presented at Morgan Stanley's Technology, Media & Telecom Conference, identifying five trends around AI's next frontiers and its ability to deliver ROI for enterprises.

Research

GenAI Revenue Could Surpass $1 Trillion by 2028

Mar 4, 2025

Software and Internet companies are likely to see their revenue from Generative AI rise more than 20-fold over the next three years, with a positive return on investment as soon as 2025.

Investment Management

Stock Market Outlook 2025: Can the Bull Run Persist?

Feb 19, 2025

After two strong years for stocks, more muted gains are likely in 2025, with opportunities in U.S. stocks, growth and value.

Global Capital Markets

2025 Capital Markets Outlook: 3 Trends Fueling a Resurgence

Feb 18, 2025

After a long bull market for bonds, here’s how you can navigate evolving market conditions to optimize your investment strategy for the year ahead.

Wealth Management

2025 Outlook: Checking on 5 Core Fixed Income Sectors

Feb 12, 2025

After a long bull market for bonds, here’s how you can navigate evolving market conditions to optimize your investment strategy for the year ahead.

Investment Banking

3 European Tech and Telecom Trends for 2025

Jan 29, 2025

AI demand, M&A-friendly policy and investments in innovation could drive growth in Europe’s technology and telecommunications sectors.

Research

Four Standout Investment Themes for 2025

Jan 22, 2025

Deglobalization, the continued evolution of AI, longevity and the future of energy could provide investment opportunities in the years ahead.

Wealth Management

Outlook 2025: The Case For Portfolio Diversification

Jan 22, 2025

While many investors have become accustomed to passive equity-index investing, a more diversified strategy could offer better risk-adjusted return.

Wealth Management

7 Political Trends Investors Should Watch in 2025

Jan 21, 2025

Discover how the top policy changes coming out of Washington may affect the economy, markets and your portfolio.

Ideas

Asia Outlook 2025: Three Critical Themes

Jan 21, 2025

Our Chief Asia Economist Chetan Ahya discusses how tariffs, the power of the U.S. dollar, and the strength of domestic demand will determine Asia’s economic growth in 2025.

Investment Banking

2025 M&A Outlook: 4 Trends Driving an Anticipated Rebound

Jan 14, 2025

A favorable regulatory environment and almost $3 trillion in uncommitted capital are among key factors that could lead to a comeback for mergers and acquisitions.

Research

2025 Investment Outlook: Get Ready to Pivot

Nov 27, 2024

A stable global economy is likely to benefit equity and fixed-income markets, though increased uncertainty around U.S. tariffs and immigration policy could jeopardize markets’ recent gains.

Research

2025 Global Economic Outlook: U.S. Policies May Temper Global Growth

Nov 27, 2024

Global growth is likely to be around 3% in 2025 and 2026, as tariff and immigration policies begin to slow the U.S. economy late next year, and China’s underperformance restrains emerging markets.

2024 Outlooks

Research

Technology That Could Define the Decade

Nov 13, 2024

Innovation driven by necessity may spark significant breakthroughs by 2030 in areas such as self-driving cars, humanoid robots and AI-assisted fertility.

Investment Management

Understanding Hedge Funds in an Evolving Market Environment

Dec 9, 2024

Challenging portfolio dynamics, plus an environment ripe for potential alpha generation, have placed renewed emphasis on hedge funds as an option for investors seeking diversification.

Wealth Management

The Growing Opportunity in Private Markets

Nov 4, 2024

Companies are spending more time under private ownership and creating more value for private shareholders in the process.

Investment Banking

3 Healthcare Investing Trends to Watch

Sep 25, 2024

A rebounding M&A environment, AI investments for productivity and cost reduction, and innovations in digital health and biotechnology were among top themes at the Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference.

Investment Management

Hidden Gems for Investors as Frontier Economies Move Past Crises

Sep 17, 2024

Small emerging and frontier economies have gone through unusual turmoil in recent years and may present compelling investing opportunities as they recover.

Research

Retailers of the Future Stock Up on Technology

Sep 4, 2024

Retail is entering a new phase as automation and AI promise to drive new growth opportunities for the largest players.

Investment Management

How Fiscal Policy Influences Investment Performance

Aug 20, 2024

Investors should monitor the growing dominance of U.S. fiscal policy on markets in the second half of 2024 and beyond, and consider opportunities in emerging market debt, U.S. equities, loans and real estate.

Thoughts on the Market Podcast

Economics Roundtable: Global Elections in Focus

Jun 24, 2024

Halfway through a historic year for elections around the world, Morgan Stanley’s chief economists assess the impact of recent results on the global economy, and weigh potential effects from key elections to come.

Investment Management

Understanding Private Credit

Jun 20, 2024

Private credit, which can offer floating interest rates that increase in tandem with benchmark rates, has seen significant growth in recent years and could become a $2.8 trillion market by 2028. See how.

Ideas

Economics Roundtable: Investors Eye Central Banks

Jun 21, 2024

Morgan Stanley’s chief economists examine the varied responses of global central banks to noisy inflation data in their quarterly roundtable discussion.

Research

2024 Global Economic Midyear Outlook

May 29, 2024

Global growth should stay steady at just over 3% in 2024 and 2025, though volatility will remain as a pickup in growth around the world contrasts with a slowdown in the U.S.

Research

2024 Midyear Investment Outlook

Jun 29, 2024

Equities and fixed income assets should find support in the second half of 2024 amid steady growth, declining inflation and interest rate cuts.

Research

Midyear Housing Outlook: Is Home Sale Activity Picking Up?

May 23, 2024

With cooling inflation and an expected drop for mortgage rates, will more affordable housing lead to a big spike in sales? Our Co-Heads of Securitized Product Research take stock of the U.S. housing market.

Research

What Could Keep India's Bull Market Going?

May 8, 2024

As India votes, the election's outcomes and other key factors could help determine whether its stock market maintains its trajectory.

Research

Election 2024: Inflation Outlook

Apr 17, 2024

It's too early to predict the results of the election on inflation and the broader economy, but there are three areas investors should watch.

Investment Management

Ready to Perform: 2024 Bond Market Outlook

Apr 3, 2024

starting yields, potential rate cuts and a return to contrasting performance for stocks and bonds could mean an attractive environment for fixed income in 2024.

Investment Management

Equity Markets 2024: 5 Reasons to Believe in the Rally

Feb 7, 2024

An uptick in retail fund flows, the end of the Fed’s rate hikes and a U.S. presidential incumbent seeking re-election are among the positive indicators for equities this year.

Research

5 Unexpected Investment Ideas for 2024

Jan 31, 2024

Consider these contrarian views on key topics of interest to investors, including airline demand, copper supply, decarbonization’s investment potential and more.

Wealth Management

2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance

Jan 10, 2024

2024 is more likely to be an average year for markets than a double-digit winner. Find out why and what it means for your portfolio.

Investment Banking

2024 M&A Outlook: Ready for a Rebound

Jan 22, 2024

Five trends explain why deal making in 2024 is likely to pick up.

Research

Three Investing Trends for 2024 And Beyond

Jan 17, 2024

Longevity, decarbonization and technology disruption could provide long-term investment opportunities.

Investment Management

3 Technology and Media Investing Trends For 2024

Dec 20, 2023

Investors and companies are watching key trends in IT spending, operational efficiencies from artificial intelligence and the battle for content among TV, streaming and big tech.

Research

2024 Global Macroeconomic Outlook: Central Banks Look for ‘Just Right’ on Rates

Nov 22, 2023

Morgan Stanley Research expects slowing global growth as central banks walk a fine line between inflation and recession.

Research

2024 Investment Outlook: Threading the Needle

Nov 22, 2023

Investors face tough choices in an imperfect world, but can look for opportunities in fixed income while remaining cautious on emerging markets and commodities.

Ideas

Thoughts on the Market

Perspectives on the forces shaping markets from thought leadership at Morgan Stanley.

Wealth Management

Wealth Management Portfolio Insights

Timely market commentary, thought leadership and portfolio ideas to help guide your investment decisions.

Ideas

Exceptional Leaders Exceptional Ideas

Research equity analysts and leaders from around the firm sit down with CEOs at world-class companies to unpack broad foundational changes in sectors, industries and markets.