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2025 Midyear Investment Outlook: All Eyes on the U.S.

Outlooks

2025 Midyear Economic Outlook: A Widespread Deceleration

Outlooks

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About Us
- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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  Morgan Stanley leadership is dedicated to conducting first-class business in a first-class way. Our board of directors and senior executives hold the belief that capital can and should benefit all of society.
- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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  From our origins as a small Wall Street partnership to becoming a global firm of more than 80,000 employees today, Morgan Stanley has been committed to clients and communities for 89 years.
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- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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  Morgan Stanley is differentiated by the caliber of our diverse team. Our culture of access and inclusion has built our legacy and shapes our future, helping to strengthen our business and bring value to clients.
- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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Meet the Minds Breaking the Mold

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Ideas

2025 Midyear Outlooks

Jun 30, 2025

As the global economy absorbs the shock of the new U.S. trade policy, 2025 is likely to see a slowdown but avoid a recession. Markets are likely to remain choppy, although there are bright spots in equities and core fixed income.

Research

Snowflake CEO on AI’s Future: Unified Data, Sovereign Clouds and Leaner Models

Jun 30, 2025

Sridhar Ramaswamy shares the ways that AI is shifting to create long-term value for companies and governments.

Research

Can the U.S. Consumer Stay Resilient?

Jun 27, 2025

The outlook is mixed as spending slows from a sprint to a jog and the housing market remains locked.

Research

U.S. Banks Look Forward to Strong Second Half

Jun 18, 2025

The financial industry expects business conditions to improve in the remainder of 2025 as policy uncertainty declines, consumer spending remains healthy and regulatory change could unlock capital market activity.

Research

India’s Economy Offers a Bright Spot

Jun 10, 2025

India Investment Forum 2025: Demographics and government policy shifts should provide a stable backdrop for world-leading economic growth, spurring investment and innovation while bringing opportunity in equities.

Research

2025 Midyear Economic Outlook: A Widespread Deceleration

May 28, 2025

Global growth is likely to slow in 2025 and 2026 as the shock of higher U.S. tariffs crimps demand around the world.

Research

2025 Midyear Investment Outlook: All Eyes on the U.S.

May 28, 2025

Amid slow growth—not no growth—expect reasonable returns from equities, consider an overweight in core fixed income, and favor U.S. assets over the rest of the world.

Sales and Trading

How M&A is Reshaping U.S. Healthcare Systems

May 6, 2025

As U.S. hospitals divest assets and some regional players and academic medical centers make acquisitions, investors and patients alike will need to assess the effects on healthcare access, affordability and profitability.

Research

U.S. Economy Still On the Edge

Apr 11, 2025

The decision to delay the implementation of reciprocal tariffs helps reduce risks, but prolonged uncertainty clouds the outlook for the U.S. economy.

Research

Tariffs Could Jeopardize Growth Outlook and Rate Cuts

Apr 3, 2025

Morgan Stanley says a June rate cut is less likely in light of new tariffs and an increased risk of inflation.

Research

Unlocking the Housing Market

Mar 21, 2025

A decline in mortgage rates could help boost home sales, with potential positive effects on the economy overall.

Research

AI's Next Leap: 5 Trends Shaping Innovation and ROI

Mar 20, 2025

The world's biggest tech companies presented at Morgan Stanley's Technology, Media & Telecom Conference, identifying five trends around AI's next frontiers and its ability to deliver ROI for enterprises.

Research

GenAI Revenue Could Surpass $1 Trillion by 2028

Mar 4, 2025

Software and Internet companies are likely to see their revenue from Generative AI rise more than 20-fold over the next three years, with a positive return on investment as soon as 2025.

Investment Management

Stock Market Outlook 2025: Can the Bull Run Persist?

Feb 19, 2025

After two strong years for stocks, more muted gains are likely in 2025, with opportunities in U.S. stocks, growth and value.

Global Capital Markets

2025 Capital Markets Outlook: 3 Trends Fueling a Resurgence

Feb 18, 2025

After a long bull market for bonds, here’s how you can navigate evolving market conditions to optimize your investment strategy for the year ahead.

Wealth Management

2025 Outlook: Checking on 5 Core Fixed Income Sectors

Feb 12, 2025

After a long bull market for bonds, here’s how you can navigate evolving market conditions to optimize your investment strategy for the year ahead.

Investment Banking

3 European Tech and Telecom Trends for 2025

Jan 29, 2025

AI demand, M&A-friendly policy and investments in innovation could drive growth in Europe’s technology and telecommunications sectors.

Research

Four Standout Investment Themes for 2025

Jan 22, 2025

Deglobalization, the continued evolution of AI, longevity and the future of energy could provide investment opportunities in the years ahead.

Wealth Management

Outlook 2025: The Case For Portfolio Diversification

Jan 22, 2025

While many investors have become accustomed to passive equity-index investing, a more diversified strategy could offer better risk-adjusted return.

Wealth Management

7 Political Trends Investors Should Watch in 2025

Jan 21, 2025

Discover how the top policy changes coming out of Washington may affect the economy, markets and your portfolio.

Ideas

Asia Outlook 2025: Three Critical Themes

Jan 21, 2025

Our Chief Asia Economist Chetan Ahya discusses how tariffs, the power of the U.S. dollar, and the strength of domestic demand will determine Asia’s economic growth in 2025.

Investment Banking

2025 M&A Outlook: 4 Trends Driving an Anticipated Rebound

Jan 14, 2025

A favorable regulatory environment and almost $3 trillion in uncommitted capital are among key factors that could lead to a comeback for mergers and acquisitions.

Research

2025 Investment Outlook: Get Ready to Pivot

Nov 27, 2024

A stable global economy is likely to benefit equity and fixed-income markets, though increased uncertainty around U.S. tariffs and immigration policy could jeopardize markets’ recent gains.

Research

2025 Global Economic Outlook: U.S. Policies May Temper Global Growth

Nov 27, 2024

Global growth is likely to be around 3% in 2025 and 2026, as tariff and immigration policies begin to slow the U.S. economy late next year, and China’s underperformance restrains emerging markets.

Ideas

Thoughts on the Market

Perspectives on the forces shaping markets from thought leadership at Morgan Stanley.

Wealth Management

Wealth Management Portfolio Insights

Timely market commentary, thought leadership and portfolio ideas to help guide your investment decisions.

Ideas

Exceptional Leaders Exceptional Ideas

Research equity analysts and leaders from around the firm sit down with CEOs at world-class companies to unpack broad foundational changes in sectors, industries and markets.