Healthcare Outlook Brightens as Policy Uncertainty Eases

Sep 18, 2026

Industry leaders at Morgan Stanley’s 24th Annual Global Healthcare Conference discussed the U.S. policy environment, the risks and opportunities coming from China, the innovation potential of AI and more.

Key Takeaways

  • Healthcare executives and investors see a more stable U.S. policy environment and increasing investment across the sector.
  • China's growing role as a source of biopharma and biotech innovation is creating opportunities for global partnerships while raising competition and risk considerations.
  • U.S. policymakers’ priorities include lower patient costs, a more stable landscape for the industry, transparency, accountability and measurable health outcomes.
  • GLP-1 utilization remains low despite rapid adoption, while oral treatments are adding to the market rather than simply replacing existing therapies.
  • AI is likely to shorten development timelines, reduce costs and improve efficiency across clinical and commercial operations.

Confidence in the healthcare industry is growing after a cautious 2025, with investment across the sector picking up, industry leaders noted at the Morgan Stanley 24th Annual Global Healthcare Conference in New York.

 

Continued growth opportunity for GLP-1s, efficiency gains from AI and strong rates of healthcare utilization are boosting investors’ optimism.

 

Executives at the conference struck a more optimistic tone on the U.S. policy environment, which they see as more stable than last year. Policymakers have largely addressed key issues—including tariffs, guidance on vaccines, international pricing and affordability—reducing the likelihood of major disruption to the industry.

 

On the regulatory front, regulators are likely to expedite approvals of new treatments, noted Sean Laaman, Head of U.S. Small- and Mid-Cap Biotech Equity Research at Morgan Stanley.

 

“We expect faster passage of drugs to the market as an attempt to keep up with what's going on in China,” Laaman said.

 

Competition and Partnership With China

To be sure, innovation in biopharma and biotech has become a national priority for the Chinese government. Executives pointed to both opportunities and risks as China innovates faster and at a lower cost than global competitors.

 

“China is extremely dynamic: They've gone from fast follower to genuine innovator,” Laaman said. “There is strong debate here at the conference about whether China has taken the innovation mantle away from the U.S.”

 

As China's biotech ecosystem becomes an increasingly important source of novel biology and potential breakthrough molecules, U.S. and European companies are seeking partnerships with Chinese labs to expand their presence in the region and gain access to future therapies.

 

Executives also emphasized the need for rigorous due diligence and guardrails before entering such partnerships, including measures to address potential national security risks.

 

Policymakers Seek Stability for the Industry

Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference

Lower costs, greater transparency and accountability, an improved patient experience and technology as a foundation are top priorities for the U.S. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), said Dan Brillman, Director of Medicaid, and John Brooks, Director of Medicare.

 

The two officials laid out the agency’s policy agenda during a Morgan Stanley Institute keynote panel at the conference, “The Future of Healthcare Policy: Insights from CMS Administrators.”

 

“Our framework is stability for the industry and lower prices for patients,” Brooks said.

 

The CMS directors signaled support for value-based initiatives across the industry and said they want healthcare plans to compete on measurable health outcomes rather than coding intensity—the aggressive use of documentation-driven coding that can artificially inflate risk scores and federal spending without a corresponding change in patient health or care.

 

“We want managed care to succeed and to restore confidence through accuracy,” Brillman said. “The goal is for the plans to be more predictable, more connected, easier to navigate and with higher accountability for results.”

 

GLP-1s’ Growth Opportunity

Executives at the conference said diabetes and obesity treatments continue to bring new patients into the market, while the introduction of oral GLP-1s has added to growth rather than cannibalizing existing therapies.

 

Biopharma leaders also noted that, despite the rapid pace of adoption, current utilization of GLP-1s remains low relative to its potential. One critical development could be the expansion of access through Medicare in the U.S.

 

Medicare launched a temporary program in July that provides eligible Part D beneficiaries access to specific weight-loss medications for a flat cost of $50 per month. The program had 6,000 participants in its first 60 days.

 

“We are figuring out how to integrate more patients in the long term,” Brooks said.

 

AI Could Reduce Drug Development Costs and Timelines

From drug development to customer service, analysts and healthcare industry leaders expect artificial intelligence to transform business models by accelerating timelines, reducing costs and improving efficiency.

 

“AI will change the face of drug development like no other sector,” Laaman said. “We'll see better drugs to market in a quicker time frame and more access to therapies for patients.”

 

Speakers at the conference highlighted another notable use case: providers are deploying AI-powered agents for post-discharge follow-up. The agents can check whether patients have scheduled follow-up appointments, need prescription refills or are experiencing ongoing symptoms. Even when patients recognize that they are speaking with AI rather than a person, many continue the conversation, helping providers gather information, support recovery and potentially reduce readmissions.

 

Executives also highlighted less obvious applications of the technology. For example, physicians are increasingly turning to large language models (LLMs) for information, prompting companies to reconsider how their scientific data can be surfaced and discovered. Some executives also pointed to opportunities for AI to enhance specialized expertise across commercial teams.

 

Utilization Gains Strength

Healthcare utilization rates—or the actual use of medical resources, such as doctor visits, hospital stays, emergency room trips and prescription drugs—remain robust, according to speakers at the conference.

 

From traffic to testing volumes and demand for generics, companies see no signs of slowdown in demand.

 

One of the drivers of that trend is the fact that consumers are increasingly making independent decisions about services and products they think are the best for their health.

 

“Patients are really taking the wheel when it comes to their own healthcare, whether it's direct-to-consumer testing or direct-to-consumer pharmacy offerings or other ways that generate proactive patient engagement,” said Erin Wright, Morgan Stanley Research’s Healthcare Services Analyst.