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This paper introduces our proprietary Private Markets Asset Allocation Framework (PMAAF), designed to help investors think about how to allocate their dry powder across private markets and cycles.

The private markets ecosystem has a wide variety of strategies, participants, assets and dynamics. We favor this space given the large alpha potential and certain diversification benefits relative to traditional public markets. However, the lack of public information, limited availability of private data, delayed valuations, illiquidity, wide dispersion of returns and behavioral biases all combine to create a challenge for an investor to determine:

  1. Asset allocation decisions and relative attractiveness across time periods.
  2. Portfolio construction decisions and relative attractiveness across asset classes and strategies.
  3. A consistent way to monitor the health and risks of private markets.

We approached this problem by creating a framework that builds from the systematic, objective and data-driven methodologies many investors use to determine allocations in public markets and complementing it with inputs dedicated to private markets

PMAAF is a process built on three pillars, outlined below:

Our Private Markets Asset Allocation Framework (PMAAF)

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We believe that today a larger and more diverse allocation, with more asset classes now accepted as “core” alternatives, as well as an increasing number of new investors in private markets, requires a well-established, repeatable, objective and data-driven framework to support investment decisions. Our three-pillar framework, combining cycle indicators, quantitative fundamental scoring and qualitative thematic overlay, reinforced with an independent monitoring oversight process, could help investors navigate the challenges intrinsic to private markets.

DEFINITIONS

Bloomberg US Aggregate: an index comprised of approximately 6,000 publicly traded bonds including United States government, mortgage-backed, corporate and Yankee bonds with an average maturity of approximately 10 years.

IMPORTANT INFORMATION

The views and opinions are those of the author as of the date of publication and are subject to change at any time due to market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. The views expressed do not reflect the opinions of all investment personnel at Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM) and its subsidiaries and affiliates (collectively the Firm”), and may not be reflected in all the strategies and products that the Firm offers.

This material is a general communication, which is not impartial, is for informational and educational purposes only, not a recommendation to purchase or sell specific securities, or to adopt any particular investment strategy. Information does not address financial objectives, situation or specific needs of individual investors.

Any charts and graphs provided are for illustrative purposes only. Any performance quoted represents past performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal.

Prior to making any investment decision, investors should carefully review the strategy’s relevant offering document. For the complete content and important disclosures, refer to the Article’s PDF